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CityWatch,
July 2003
By Wes Wellman
With
real estate values at all time highs, one naturally wonders about the
direction of the market. For help I turned to the "experts."
I had a sample of Santa Monica apartment owners surveyed about their opinions
concerning the market.
The
first question posed was this: "The prices for apartment buildings
in Santa Monica are very high right now. Do you expect prices to remain
at current levels, to increase or to decline?"
Of
those owners surveyed, 58% said they expected prices to remain at current
levels, 33% expected prices to increase, and only 9% expected prices to
decline.
Of
those who think prices are going to stay the same or increase, here is
a sampling of their comments:
The
supply of rental housing isn't keeping pace with demand.
Location, location, location.
I think we are going into a recession, but Santa Monica prices will
increase.
There is not enough property in Santa Monica and everybody wants to
live here.
Prices won't decline until interest rates increase.
Why? Do I have a crystal ball?
Stocks crashed. Everybody wants real estate.
It's the economy, stupid.
Just a feeling.
Santa Monica is still just a great place to live.
As more low rent apartments turn over, prices will go even higher.
These
comments, although not exactly responsive to the question asked, are worthy
of note:
I'm
going to have to abstain.
I won't sell at these prices. Why shouldn't I try for more?
People who need an exchange or have tax issues are willing to pay exorbitant
prices.
The market doesn't mean a *#$% to me.
There are people buying at these prices. I don't know why.
But, hey- good luck to them.
I don't own anymore down there- thank goodness.
I rather you put me out in the middle of the street, stark naked, even
though I'm a middle aged woman, and whip me publicly, than buy again
in Santa Monica.
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